Appendix B : Results Archive

The aim of this section is to compare the modelling results against historical data collected within Cockbrun Sound and surrounding waters (where available), with outputs of various generations of the CSIEM. The model performance in predicting a range of relevant variables such as salinity, temperature, nitrogen, phosphorus and total chlorophyll-a, are assessed with a set of statistical metrics, and other supporting analyses.

This appendix is in progres during the active development of the model and being updated with the CSIEM modelling as it evolves.

6.4 Synoptic-scale validation

A “high-level” annual-scale analysis of the model is undertaken for each model version during development. This is to provide a synoptic scale assessment of how key variables are preodcited with different model configurations.

Time-series validation plots including the statistics for each site are available via the links in the below table (Table ??). The tables are organised based on model generation, in addition to a comparison of the performance of the model generations (termed ‘multi’).

GEN 2.0 alpha

Table 6.3: Model results for GEN 2.1 nWV nSDG simulation (Generation 2.1 model without wave or dynamic sediment modules engaged.)
Generation 2.1 (TIME SERIES) Generation 2.1 (TRANSECT)

GEN 1.6

Table 6.4: Model results for GEN 2 nWV nSDG simulation (Generation 2 model without wave or dynamic sediment modules engaged.)
Generation 2 (TIME SERIES) Generation 2 (TRANSECT)

GEN 1.5

Table 6.5: Model results for Generation 1.5
Generation 1.5 nALS Data 2017 2022 Generation 1.5 wALS Data 2017 2022

GEN 1.1

Table 6.6: Model results for Generation 1
Generation 1 2019 2021

MULTI

CSIEM Multiple Model Comparison

Table 6.7: Comparison of Model Generations 1, 1.5 & 2
Model Comparison 2017 2022

6.5 Context-specific validation